scholarly journals The South Indian Convergence Zone and Interannual Rainfall Variability over Southern Africa

2000 ◽  
Vol 13 (21) ◽  
pp. 3789-3804 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kerry H. Cook
2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (7) ◽  
pp. 2797-2817 ◽  
Author(s):  
Neil C. G. Hart ◽  
Richard Washington ◽  
Chris J. C. Reason

The Southern Hemisphere subtropical convergence zones are important regions of rainfall in the subtropics. The south Indian Ocean convergence zone (SICZ) has the strongest seasonality and exhibits substantial interannual variability in strength and position during austral summer. On synoptic time scales, the SICZ is a preferred region for the formation of tropical–extratropical (TE) cloud bands with local maxima over the southern African mainland and Madagascar. This study investigates how the seasonality in satellite-observed cloud band frequency emerges from the interplay between the asynchronous seasonal cycles in convective instability and upper-level flow, as represented by reanalysis data. These atmospheric mean states are diagnosed with a gross convective instability metric and a method to distinguish between subtropical and eddy-driven jet axes. Month-by-month analysis of these diagnostics elucidates how mean-state perturbations during ENSO events modify cloud band likelihood. Typically, 150%–200% more cloud bands develop during La Niña seasons supported by 5°–10° latitudinal separation between the local subtropical and eddy-driven jets and higher values of convective instability, especially in semiarid parts of mainland southern Africa. During El Niño events, fewer cloud bands develop over southern Africa in a more convectively stable environment without a distinct subtropical jet. However, east of Madagascar cloud bands are 150% more likely. Plausible teleconnection pathways based on these ENSO-related perturbations are discussed. The paper concludes with a conceptual framing of the seasonal cycle in the mean-state pertinent to TE cloud band likelihood.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-38
Author(s):  
Abdullah A. Fahad ◽  
Natalie J. Burls ◽  
Erik T. Swenson ◽  
David M. Straus

AbstractSubtropical anticyclones and midlatitude storm tracks are key components of the large-scale atmospheric circulation. Focusing on the southern hemisphere, the seasonality of the three dominant subtropical anticyclones, situated over the South Pacific, South Atlantic, and South Indian Ocean basins, has a large influence on local weather and climate within South America, Southern Africa, and Australia, respectively. Generally speaking, sea level pressure within the southern hemisphere subtropics reaches its seasonal maximum during the winter season when the southern hemisphere Hadley Cell is at its strongest. One exception to this is the seasonal evolution of the South Pacific subtropical anticyclone. While winter maxima are seen in the South Atlantic and South Indian subtropical anticyclones, the South Pacific subtropical anticyclone reaches its seasonal maximum during local spring with elevated values extending into summer. In this study, we investigate the hypothesis that the strength of the austral summer South Pacific subtropical anticyclone is largely due to heating over the South Pacific Convergence Zone. Using added cooling and heating atmospheric-general-circulation-model experiments to artificially change the strength of austral summer diabatic heating over the South Pacific Convergence Zone, our results show that increased heating, through increased upper-level divergence, triggers a Rossby wave train that extends into the Southern Hemisphere mid-latitudes. This propagating Rossby wave train creates a high-low sea level pressure pattern that projects onto the center of the South Pacific Subtropical Anticyclone to intensify its area and strength.


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